The gap is the signal
An 85¢ favorite and a 12¢ longshot are equally valid — and equally ignored — until fair value beats the price by more than costs. We trade the mispricing, at any price level.
PolySharp finds where Polymarket's crowd price disagrees with Pinnacle's sharp no-vig line — and only signals when the mispricing clears the costs. Every pick is graded by Closing Line Value, the one number that can't be faked.
A bet is good when its price is wrong — not when it's likely to win.
An 85¢ favorite and a 12¢ longshot are equally valid — and equally ignored — until fair value beats the price by more than costs. We trade the mispricing, at any price level.
The sharpest public estimate of a true probability is a low-margin book's no-vig line. When Polymarket's softer crowd disagrees, the crowd is usually the one that's wrong.
We grade every pick against the closing line — not win rate, not a cherry-picked PnL screenshot. Positive CLV is the only proof the edge was real.
The scoreboard builds in public, straight from the engine. Headline metric is average CLV — nothing else.
One full pass of the pipeline. Every stage that can fail, fails closed.
The discipline is in the omissions. Each of these loses money slowly.
Pay in crypto, get signals over Telegram. No custody of funds, no bets placed for you. Early beta — signals as generated while the track record builds.
Public CLV track record plus delayed beta signals while the sample builds.
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